Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.313257 0.365375 0.423658 0.493705 0.575671 0.668627 0.782167
2025-01-12 0.227298 0.294313 0.377571 0.488809 0.633878 0.817126 1.066965
2025-01-19 0.184720 0.256835 0.353103 0.491417 0.685790 0.950336 1.339689
2025-01-26 0.163109 0.240373 0.349761 0.516591 0.765921 1.126841 1.692854
2025-02-02 0.146497 0.227010 0.346936 0.539553 0.843243 1.307108 2.076091
2025-02-09 0.131628 0.213279 0.340526 0.554562 0.908563 1.475949 2.464696
2025-02-16 0.117598 0.198404 0.329598 0.559733 0.957309 1.623150 2.837688
2025-02-23 0.104498 0.182959 0.315230 0.556390 0.990089 1.746503 3.185865
2025-03-02 0.091461 0.165701 0.295275 0.540111 0.997114 1.824754 3.462859
2025-03-09 0.085193 0.159509 0.293627 0.555943 1.063516 2.016887 3.977332
2025-03-16 0.077854 0.150322 0.285262 0.557862 1.103466 2.164036 4.424884
2025-03-23 0.072491 0.144151 0.281648 0.568171 1.160578 2.350786 4.977673
2025-03-30 0.065102 0.133242 0.267876 0.557107 1.174496 2.455834 5.382329
2025-04-06 0.059137 0.124485 0.257359 0.551441 1.199121 2.586855 5.864858
2025-04-13 0.054708 0.118337 0.251358 0.554396 1.242372 2.762843 6.474134
2025-04-20 0.052953 0.117677 0.256770 0.582883 1.345986 3.085458 7.472829
2025-04-27 0.051077 0.116496 0.260866 0.608872 1.447355 3.416682 8.544166
2025-05-04 0.048644 0.113739 0.261092 0.625860 1.529731 3.714537 9.579774
2025-05-11 0.045645 0.109289 0.256897 0.631714 1.585773 3.956345 10.510094
2025-05-18 0.042310 0.103629 0.249190 0.627930 1.617151 4.141058 11.318889
2025-05-25 0.038434 0.096183 0.236323 0.609503 1.608393 4.222039 11.858281
2025-06-01 0.036948 0.094538 0.237504 0.627424 1.697906 4.572921 13.210920
2025-06-08 0.034743 0.090786 0.232948 0.629596 1.745147 4.816652 14.294633